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Superforecasting: The Art And Science Of Prediction
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Superforecasting: The Art And Science Of PredictionWINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton
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Superforecasting: The Art And Science Of Prediction
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